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Spot prices for gold this week touchedR$2,000 per ounce for the first time since the immediate aftermath of Russia’s invasion ☀️ of Ukraine. Prices slipped back after testing the level several times throughout the week, but trading in options contracts linked ☀️ to the metal suggest many investors are expecting a more sustained rally in the weeks ahead.
Financial investors generally make bets ☀️ on gold prices through futures contracts, exchange traded funds, or options contracts tied to them. Aakash Doshi, head of commodities ☀️ for North America at Citigroup, said there had been a surge in investor activity across all three channels in recent ☀️ weeks.
“The big catalyst has been the stress in the regional banking system in the US . . . [and] it ☀️ has been pretty much one-directional buying,” he said.
March is set to be the first month of net inflows into gold ☀️ ETFs for 10 months, while the volume of bullish options bets tied to the funds has approached record levels.
Call options ☀️ give investors the right to buy assets at a set price at a later date. The five-day rolling volume of ☀️ call options on the SPDR Gold Trust ETF has surged more than fivefold since the start of the month. The ☀️ ratio of calls to puts — options that are used to make bearish bets or protect against downside risk — ☀️ has also swung to extreme levels, suggesting a consensus among traders that prices are on the way up.
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